回顾过去十多年,马来西亚的国产车市场几乎谈不上真正的“竞争”。自 2006 年 Perodua 超越 Proton 以后便一路领跑,到 2018 年时其销量甚至达到了竞争对手的四倍以上。正因如此,今年上半年的市场表现显得尤为震撼——双雄之间的差距正在以极快的速度缩小。

根据最新出炉的上半年数据,Proton 在今年 1 月至 6 月期间共注册了 98,010 辆新车,较去年同期大幅增长 40.5%,创下了自 2002 年以来的最佳上半年成绩。与此同时,Perodua 尽管仍以 158,295 辆的成绩稳居榜首,但同比却下滑了 4.7%。
从市场格局来看:
市占率对比:在今年上半年,Perodua 与 Proton 两大国民品牌合力拿下了全马 62.6% 的总注册量,双寡头垄断地位依然稳固。

差距急剧缩窄:去年同期的双头销量比为 2.4 比 1,而今年已拉近至 1.6 比 1,创下了自 2013 年以来的最小差距。其中,Proton 的市场份额攀升至 23.9%,创下 2011 年以来的半年新高;而 Perodua 的份额则回落至 38.7%。

Proton:爆款车型与新能源双管齐下
Proton 的强势反弹并非依靠单一车型,而是多点开花:
国民神车持续放量:得益于去年底推出的改款升级,Saga 销量大涨 42.8% 至 44,234 辆,稳坐最畅销轿车有力争夺者。
SUV 矩阵全线上扬:X50 增长 32.3%、S70 增长 38.4%、X90 更实现了 55.9% 的大幅增长。
新能源红利爆发:在 e.MAS 5、e.MAS 7 的带动下,近五分之一的 Proton 新车注册为新能源或插电混动车型,开辟了全新的增长曲线。

相比之下,Perodua 的基本盘出现了一定程度的松动。除了 Bezza 逆势微增 2.8% 外,Axia、Myvi、Alza 以及 Ativa 和 Aruz 均遭遇不同程度的下滑。
虽然全新 SUV 车型 Traz 在半年内交出了 10,753 辆的成绩,但一定程度上分流了部分原有的 Ativa 和 Aruz 客户。而在电动化领域,其首款电动车 QV-E 仅录得 209 辆,表现尚处于起步阶段。

大盘局势的变化,直接催生了近年来最白热化的“销冠争夺战”。在车型层面,Perodua Bezza 与 Proton Saga 之间的差距在半程结束时仅剩下 3,229 辆(Bezza 47,463 辆对 Saga 44,234 辆),而去年同期的半程差距还高达 15,190 辆。
更值得关注的是,今年前六个月中,Saga 已经成功在 1 月和 5 月两度夺下单月销冠。回溯历史,自 2003 年 Wira 之后,再也没有任何一款 Proton 车型能够夺得全年销量冠军。如今 Saga 距离打破长达二十余年的垄断仅一步之遥。

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